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Elliottwave Analysis Guides
Basic Elliottwave Theory
Elliottwave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory Basics
Elliott Wave Chart Patterns
Momentum Trading
Forex Swing Trading with Elliottwave
Technical Analysis of Elliottwave
Dow Theory, Cycles, News & Random Walk
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Elliottwave Rules & Guidelines
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Elliott Wave Rules and Guidelines
The following is a
comprehensive list of the major Rules and Guidelines for
the Elliott wave principle.
Elliott Rules must
be obeyed in every detail for a pattern to qualify as an
Elliott Pattern (or wave).
However, the Guidelines do not have to be obeyed.
The more Guidelines obeyed by an Elliott pattern, the
higher its rating or probability of being correct.
An Impulse is a five Wave
pattern labeled 1-2-3-4-5 moving in the direction of the
larger trend. It is the most common Elliott Wave
pattern.
- Wave 1 must be an
Impulse or a Leading Diagonal.
- Wave 2 may be any
corrective pattern except a Triangle.
- No part of Wave 2
can more than retrace Wave 1.
- Wave 2 must
retrace Wave 1 by a minimum of 20%.
- The maximum time
for Wave 2 is nine times Wave 1.
- Wave 3 must be an
Impulse.
- Wave 3 must be
longer than Wave 2 in gross distance by price.
- The gross price
movement of Wave 2 must be greater than either Wave
2 of Wave 1 or Wave 4 of Wave 1. The gross price
movement of Wave 2 must also be greater than either
Wave 2 of Wave 3 or Wave 4 of Wave 3. Wave 2 must
also be greater than 61.8% of the gross movement of
each of the above 4 sub-Waves.
- Wave 3 and Wave 1
cannot both have 5th Wave failures. (A Failure is an
impulsive Wave where Wave 5 is shorter than Wave 4
by price.)
- Wave 3 cannot be
less than 1/3 of Wave 1 by price.
- Wave 3 cannot be
more than 7 times Wave 1 by price.
- Although there is
no minimum time constraint for Wave 3, its absolute
maximum time limit is 7 times Wave 1.
- Wave 4 can be any
corrective pattern.
- Waves 1, 2 and 4
cannot overlap except by 15% of Wave 2 with
leveraged securities, and then only for a maximum of
less than two days.
- The gross price
movement of Wave 4 must be greater than either the
gross movement of Wave 2 of 3 or Wave 4 of 3. The
gross price movement of Wave 4 must also be greater
than either the gross movement of Wave 2 of 5 or
Wave 4 of 5. The gross movement by price of Wave 4
must also be greater than 61.8% of the gross
movement of each of these four subwaves.
- The gross movement
by price of Wave 4 must be greater than 1/3 of the
gross movement of Wave 2 by both price and
percentage movement.
- The gross movement
by price for Wave 4 must be less than three times
the gross movement of Wave 2 by both price and
percentage movement.
- Wave 3 and Wave 4
cannot both be failures. (A Failure is an impulsive
Wave where Wave 5 is shorter than Wave 4 by price.)
- Although Wave 4
has no minimum time constraint, the maximum time for
Wave 4 is twice the time taken by Wave 3.
- Wave 5 must be an
Impulse or an Ending Diagonal. However, if Wave 5 is
longer than Wave 3 by price, then Wave 5 must be an
Impulse.
- Wave 5 must move
by price more than 70% of Wave 4. (This is not gross
movement. Only consider the end points of both
Waves.)
- Wave 3 must never
be shorter than both Wave 1 and 5, by either price
distance or percentage price movement.
- If Wave 5 is
truncated, or contains an Impulse that is truncated,
then neither Wave 3 nor Wave 4 can contain a subwave
that is truncated. (A truncated pattern is where
Wave 5 is shorter than Wave 4. This is also known as
a failure.)
- The maximum
movement of Wave 5 is six times Wave 3 in both price
and time.
- Wave 5 has no
minimum time constraint.
- Wave 1 can be a Leading
Diagonal, but this is rare.
- Wave 2 is usually a Zigzag
based pattern.
- Wave 2 usually takes a
small amount of time compared to Wave 1. However, Wave 2 is
usually takes more than 10% of the time taken by Wave 1.
- Wave 2 generally retraces
more than 30% of Wave 1 including internal data points.
- Wave 2 will usually
retraces less than 80% of Wave 1 .
- The most likely
retracement for Wave 2 is 50% or 61.8% of Wave 1.
- The gross price movement
of Wave 2 should be greater than the gross price movement of
Waves 2 of 1, 4 of 1, 2 of 3 and 4 of 3.
- If the gross movement of
Wave 2 is between 33% and 40.3% retracement of Wave 1, it is
most likely complete.
- If the gross movement of
Wave 2 has retraced to end of previous Wave 4 of 1, then it
is most likely complete.
- It is unlikely that Wave 3
will be shorter than Wave 1 by price.
- The most likely price
range for Wave 3 is between 1.5 and 3.5 times the price
range of Wave 1.
- Most likely range in time
for Wave 3 is between 1 and 4 times the time taken by Wave
1.
- Wave 4 is rarely a Zigzag
based correction.
- It is common for both
Waves 4 & 2 to have approximately the same price movement.
- Wave 4 will most often
retrace more than 20% of Wave 3, including internal points.
- Wave 4 will very often
retrace about 38.2% of Wave 3.
- Wave 4 does not often
retrace Wave 3 by more than 50%.
- Wave 4 will often retrace
into the price territory of previous Wave 4 of Wave 1.
- Wave 4 will most often
retrace to the end of the previous Wave 4 of one lesser
degree.
- Waves 2 & 4 usually
alternate between Zigzag and Flat. The other alternation is
between a Triangle and a Flat.
- Leveraged markets may at
times overlap by up to 15% of Wave 2 by price.
- The gross price movement
of Wave 4 should be greater than the gross price movement of
Waves 2 of 3, 4 of 3, 2 of 5 and 4 of 5.
- Expect the time taken by
Wave 4 to be between 100% - 270% of the time taken by Wave
2.
- Wave 5 will usually move
beyond the end of Wave 3.
- When Wave 5 is extended
(more than 161.8% longer than both Waves 1 and 3) a point
within Wave 4 will often divide the entire Impulse Wave by
1.618.
- If Wave 5 is extended
(more than 161.8% longer than both Waves 1 and 3), it is
common for its price length to be about 161.8% of the gross
price length between the beginning of Wave 1 to end of Wave
3.
- It is unusual for Wave 5
to travel a greater price or time percentage than Wave 3
traveled in its entirety.
- The most likely price
targets for Wave 5 are: 61.8% of Wave 1, 100% of Wave 1,
161.8% of Wave 1, 161.8% of the length from the beginning of
Wave 1 to end of Wave 3.
- If Wave 3 is about equal
to 161.8% of Wave 1 by price, the most likely time for Wave
5 is about equal to the time taken by Wave 1.
- One of the Impulse Waves
(Waves 1, 3 or 5) generally extends (at least 162% times the
next longest Impulse Wave).
- The most likely Wave to
extend is the 3rd Wave of an Impulse. However, in leveraged
funds when the Impulse is rising and the degree is Primary
or above, the most likely Wave to extend is Wave 5.
- A non-extended 5th Wave of
less than Primary degree usually has a lower peak volume
than a third Wave. However, when the 5th Wave extends (less
than Primary degree), Wave 5 has usually shows more volume.
- Wave 5, when complete,
usually has a lesser slope than Wave 3. However, in
leveraged securities when the Impulse is rising and the
degree is Primary or above, this is not usually the case.
- Wave 5 is usually less
than 4 times length of Wave 3 by time.
A ZigZag is a three wave structure
labeled A-B-C, generally moving counter to the larger trend. It
is the most common three wave Elliott pattern. Zigzags are
corrective in nature.
- Wave A must be an Impulse
or a Leading Diagonal.
- Wave B can only be a
corrective pattern.
- Wave B must be shorter
than Wave A by price. All internal points are considered.
- Wave B must be at least
20% of A by price.
- Although there is no
minimum time constraint for Wave B, it must not exceed 10
times the time taken by Wave A.
- Wave C must be an Impulse
or an Ending Diagonal.
- If Wave A is a Leading
Diagonal, then Wave C must not be an Ending Diagonal.
- Wave C must be longer than
90% of Wave B by price.
- Wave C must be less than 5
times Wave B by price.
- It is not allowable to
have both Wave 5 of A a failure (Wave 5 is shorter then Wave
4) and Wave 5 of C a failure.
- Wave C must be no more
than 10 times either Wave A or B in price or time.
- It is unusual for a Wave
within Wave A to have a greater gross price movement than
Wave A.
- Wave B should end nowhere
near beginning of Wave A
- Wave B should retrace at
least 30% of Wave A.
- Wave B is most likely to
retrace Wave A by about 38.2%.
- Wave B is next most likely
to retrace Wave A by about 50%.
- Wave B is next most likely
to retrace Wave A by about 61.8%.
- The largest Wave in B is
usually less than the gross price movement of Wave A.
- The time taken by Wave B
is usually between 61.8% and 161.8% of the time taken by
Wave A.
- Wave C is most likely to
have a similar price length to Wave A.
- The next most likely price
lengths for Wave C are 61.8% and 161% of Wave A
- The next most likely price
length for Wave C is 61.8% of Wave A beyond the end of Wave
A.
- If Wave C is much longer
than 161.8% of A, then the pattern is more probably the
beginning of an Impulse than a Zigzag.
- If Wave C is complete, and
has a greater slope than Wave A, expect the Zigzag to extend
to an Impulse.
- Although Wave C should
always be greater in price to Wave B, in rare cases Wave C
can be up to 10% shorter than Wave B.
- The largest Wave within C
by price is usually less than the gross price movement of
Wave A.
- The time taken by Wave C
is usually between 61.8% of Wave A and 161.8% of the
shortest Wave of A and B.
A
Flat is a three wave pattern labeled A-B-C that moves generally
sideways. It is corrective and counter-trend and is a very
common Elliott pattern.
- Wave A can be any
corrective pattern except a Triangle.
- Wave B can be any
corrective pattern except a Triangle.
- Wave B must retrace more
than 70% of Wave A.
- Wave B is less than twice
the price movement of Wave A, including internal points of
Wave B.
- Although there is no
minimum time constraint for Wave B, it must be less than 10
times Wave A.
- Wave C must be an Impulse
or Ending Diagonal.
- Wave C must share some
common price territory with Wave A.
- Wave C must be less than
twice the longest of Waves A and B, including internal
points of Wave C.
- Wave C must be less the
three times the price distance of Wave A.
- Disallow back to back
failures.
- Wave C must be no more
than 10 times either Waves A or B in price and time.
- There is no minimum time
constrains for Wave A.
- Wave A is usually a Zigzag
family pattern.
- Wave A is rarely an
Expanding Triangle.
- The largest Wave within
Wave A is usually less than Wave A by price.
- Wave B is usually a Zigzag
family pattern.
- Wave B is rarely a Flat.
- Wave B is usually greater
than 95% of Wave A by price.
- Wave B is usually less
than 140% of Wave A by price.
- The largest Wave within B
is usually less than Wave A by price.
- The time taken by Wave B
is generally between 61.8% and 161.8% of Wave A.
- Wave C is rarely an Ending
Diagonal.
- Wave C is often about the
same length as both Wave A and B.
- Wave C often ends at point
which is a percent of Wave A beyond end of Wave A equal to
the same percentage away from the start of Wave A.
- Wave C usually retraces a
minimum of 100% of Wave B.
- Wave C normally reaches to
the end of Wave A
- Wave C is not often more
than 140% of the longer of Wave A or B.
- If Wave C is longer than
Wave B, then Wave C is often about 61.8% of A beyond end of
A.
- If Wave C is longer than
Wave B, then Wave C is often about 161.8% of Wave A from end
of Wave B by price.
- The time taken by Wave C
is generally between 61.8% of Wave 1 to 161.8% of the
shortest of Waves A and B.
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